Figure 1. Danie Krugel, inventor of the Krugel Theory Tester. Image from http://www.mccannfiles.com/id304.html
Danie
Krugel is a former policeman from South Africa. Krugel, also known as
"The Locator", is known for being a professional bodyfinder. He invented
an apparatus he called the Krugel Theory Tester (KTT), which through
using Global Positioning Systems and DNA technology can pinpoint the
location of anyone in the world; as long as Krugel has an item which
contains their DNA e.g. a hair. Krugel claims to have a 90% success rate
(Sunday Mirror, 2007). Krugel can locate anyone in the world dead or
alive. A website promoting Krugel, www.daniekrugelfacts.com,
says the following: "All services Danie have provided this far have
been
free off charge. In the majority of cases Danie paid his own travel and
accommodation expenses and sacrificed benefits provided by his
employer". Even if this is the case, the science behind Krugel's KTT is
shrouded in mystery (see Behind the KTT). And not everyone in the world
offers these services for free (see Sally Morgan section).
Danie Krugel: Visionary or Fraudster?
A Lesson In Falsification
Translate
Tuesday 27 November 2012
Madeleine McCann
Figure 3. Madeleine McCann, who went missing while on holiday in Portugal. Image from http://www.bellenews.com/2012/05/08/world/europe-news/girl-identical-to-madeleine-mccann-spotted-in-costa-del-sol-three-days-after-she-went-missing/
In 2007 it was reported across the entire media network that a young girl called Madeleine McCann had gone missing while on holiday with her family and their friends in Praia Da Luz, Portugal. What followed was a massive investigation, during which police suggested the child had been abducted. A search of the area began, but unfortunately no trace of Madeleine. On 07/10/2007, the Sunday Mirror reported that the McCann's had hired Krugel to help with the search for their missing daughter Madeleine. Upon arrival, Krugel was handed a hairbrush containing the hairs of Madeleine for him to use with his KTT machine. The Sunday Mirror said that Krugel used " cutting-edge technology" to "led Portuguese police to an area of beach 500 yards from where she vanished". The article then goes on to report that the police sealed off the area that Krugel had indicated, but the police never began digging to search for Madeleine's body. If the police believed Krugel to the point where they sealed off the area, why would they not begin digging? The answer is simple, the science doesn't add up.
In 2007 it was reported across the entire media network that a young girl called Madeleine McCann had gone missing while on holiday with her family and their friends in Praia Da Luz, Portugal. What followed was a massive investigation, during which police suggested the child had been abducted. A search of the area began, but unfortunately no trace of Madeleine. On 07/10/2007, the Sunday Mirror reported that the McCann's had hired Krugel to help with the search for their missing daughter Madeleine. Upon arrival, Krugel was handed a hairbrush containing the hairs of Madeleine for him to use with his KTT machine. The Sunday Mirror said that Krugel used " cutting-edge technology" to "led Portuguese police to an area of beach 500 yards from where she vanished". The article then goes on to report that the police sealed off the area that Krugel had indicated, but the police never began digging to search for Madeleine's body. If the police believed Krugel to the point where they sealed off the area, why would they not begin digging? The answer is simple, the science doesn't add up.
Behind The KTT
The reason that the Portuguese police never searched the area that Krugel suggested is that his theory of the location of Madeleine's body had no scientific basis. Mark Harrison is a member of the National Police Improvement Agency and was brought in by Portuguese police to investigate the investigation being conducted on Madeleine's disappearance. Harrison stated in his report that a concern of Krugel's work was "the poor quality of his report which merely shows a google earth image of an area to the east of Praia Da Luz and includes open smb land, beach and sea", and that "Krugel was not prepared to allow the device to be viewed or provide any specification data of readings or equipment and the fact that no known device currently exists commercially or academically then I can only conclude that the information he has provided is likely to be of low value". It is well understood that if someone's theory has little scientific data to support it then we cannot accept the theory. If Krugel's theory could not be falsified then his theory has no scientific value.
Don't Trust The Bodyfinder
On the 8th October 2007 the Daily Mirror published an article with
the title "Don't Trust The Bodyfinder". The article tells of how the
McCanns were warned by a Varenda Gouws not to trust Krugel as he "led
her and husband Willem on a wild goose chase after son Rayno, 20, went
missing last year during a hiking holiday". Varenda goes on to say "It
was an endless track. We drove through South Africa for 4,300 miles".
She tells of the "mental torture" of being told your child is okay, and
wondering why they haven't contacted you. Unfortunately, Rayno was found
in a forest outside of Knysna; it is believed he died of a snake bite.
Varenda then explains of Krugel's reaction to her telling him of her
son's death. She says "he was really aggressive. He said it was not
possible. He blamed me. He said "This is a lie. Nobody can tell you how
long a body is dead". He didn't want to hear he had made a mistake." The
article suggests that the McCann's changed their mind about Krugel's
participation after this warning. The article ends by stating that
Krugel insisted he does not ask the families for money for his
services, but also states that "he has a contract with a TV company and
was filmed while working on the
Madeleine case. He says the footage can only be released once Madeleine
is found".
Falsifiability
Falsifiability is a key feature of all sciences. It is the principle that for a theory to be considered scientific it must be able to be proven wrong via scientific testing, in this case of the KTT apparatus. The Oxford Dictionary of Psychology states that "a theory lacking this property does not belong to science". Many people see this as a hard principle to understand, because surely as humans we want knowledge which cannot be proven wrong. But this kind of knowledge would impede our understanding of the universe and everything which inhabits it. So for us to better understand the world we live in, it is important for any theory to be falsifiable. In Krugel's case, he could not show any scientific data to support his findings.
Therefore Krugel's KTT cannot be considered scientific, and explains why
the Portuguese police never inspected the area he said to contain
Madeleine's body. Other aspects of modern life are not supported by
scientific evidence, but are widely believed by the public such as
horoscopes and homeopathy. But again by applying the principle of
falsifiability we can see that these should not be trusted as they are
classified as not belonging to science. One such area which cannot be
falsified is the area of psychics, in particular mediums. Mediums
are people who claim to be able to talk to those who are dead, and will
often tell you what your late loved ones are saying for a small fee.
One well known medium is Sally Morgan.
Sally Morgan
Figure 4. Sally Morgan. Image from http://www.sallymorgan.tv/category/2-just-sally.html.
Sally Morgan is a medium, and on her website www.sallymorgan.tv states she is "Britain's best loved psychic". Mediums claim that they have a gift, an abilty to hear the voices of those who have passed away. In the biography section of her website, Sally talks at length about her childhood and learning to control her ability. The most interesting thing about Sally Morgan's website is the focus of money. There are links to buy tickets to a show, or to buy books and jewellery. You can even call Sally's team of psychics for your own personal reading, again for a small fee. Do mediums really possess the ability to talk to the dead, or are they just praying on the vulnerable? They seem to offer closure in times of need, and use very general questions (as shown in the article) that could apply to anyone. It is important to remember the principle of falsifiability, and apply it to things such as mediums. Through this we can understand that fields such as psychics are not scientific and so lack validity.
Sally Morgan is a medium, and on her website www.sallymorgan.tv states she is "Britain's best loved psychic". Mediums claim that they have a gift, an abilty to hear the voices of those who have passed away. In the biography section of her website, Sally talks at length about her childhood and learning to control her ability. The most interesting thing about Sally Morgan's website is the focus of money. There are links to buy tickets to a show, or to buy books and jewellery. You can even call Sally's team of psychics for your own personal reading, again for a small fee. Do mediums really possess the ability to talk to the dead, or are they just praying on the vulnerable? They seem to offer closure in times of need, and use very general questions (as shown in the article) that could apply to anyone. It is important to remember the principle of falsifiability, and apply it to things such as mediums. Through this we can understand that fields such as psychics are not scientific and so lack validity.
References
Daily Mirror. (2007, Oct 8). Don't Trust The Bodyfinder. retrieved from
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/dont-trust-the-bodyfinder-511804
Coleman, A.M. (2009). Oxford Dictionary of Psychology. (3rd ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Harrison, M. (2007, July 23). 09-Processo Vol 9. retrieved from http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON.htm
Owens, N. (2007, Oct 7). I Know Where Maddy Body Is. Sunday Mirror. retrieved from http://www.daniekrugelfacts.com/mirror.html
Zennon, P. (2011, September 11). What a load of crystal balls! As Diana's former psychic is accused of cheating on stage, a TV illusionist exposes how trickery can fool any audience. Daily Mail. retrieved from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2040285/What-load-crystal-balls-As-Dianas-psychic-accused-cheating-stage-TV-illusionist-exposes-trickery-fool-audience.html
Coleman, A.M. (2009). Oxford Dictionary of Psychology. (3rd ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Harrison, M. (2007, July 23). 09-Processo Vol 9. retrieved from http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARK_HARRISON.htm
Owens, N. (2007, Oct 7). I Know Where Maddy Body Is. Sunday Mirror. retrieved from http://www.daniekrugelfacts.com/mirror.html
Zennon, P. (2011, September 11). What a load of crystal balls! As Diana's former psychic is accused of cheating on stage, a TV illusionist exposes how trickery can fool any audience. Daily Mail. retrieved from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2040285/What-load-crystal-balls-As-Dianas-psychic-accused-cheating-stage-TV-illusionist-exposes-trickery-fool-audience.html
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)